Although there are many views about the root causes of the conflict in the Middle East for simplicity we can reduce them to two opposing views.  One is that the Jews invaded, massacred innocent Palestinians, and stole and occupied their land.  The other view is that Jihad against the Jewish infidel is the root cause of conflict in the Middle East and that the Arabs who are living in Israel and in Jordan invaded, massacred innocent Jews and  stole and occupied their land.

    Many of those Jews who believe  that the Israelis are the occupiers believe that the conflict can be solved if the Jewish presence in Judea, Samaria and Gaza is ended.  Those who believe that the conflict is based in religious Jihad believe that the only way to end the conflict is to defeat the Arabs to the point where they are unable to wage war, to show them that violence against the Jew is not worth the price and as Steve Plaut of the University of Haifa wrote, to deNazify them.  Such deNazification would require taking control of  their propaganda apparatus which includes both the government media, the schools and most if not all the mosques.  Those who believe the conflict is based on religious Jihad believe that withdrawals will increase the violence since it will encourage those waging Jihad and show them that violence pays.  Those who believe the conflict is based on occupation believe that withdrawals will bring peace.

    Dr. Edward Alexander wrote about the predictions of those who believe occupation is the root cause in an article in Frontpage magazine as follows (Israel's Deadly Delusions frontpagemag.com 6/13/05):

When the accords were signed in 1993, Minister of Education Shulamit Aloni announced that "no more parents will go weeping after the coffins of their sons" and Israeli novelist and "peace activist" Amos Oz said confidently that "death shall be no more."

And all this because Arafat had not for the first time promised to renounce terror and recognize Israel's "right to exist." It was the used Buick he had already sold several times over.

By autumn 2000, and as a direct... result of Israel's endless unreciprocated concessions to Arafat's demands, the country was faced with Intifada II, "the Oslo War," in which all Israel became a battlefield, and getting on a bus or going to a cafe or a disco meant risking your life.

    One organization whose predictions about the Middle East  have been consistently confirmed by events is Americans  For A Safe Israel.  After the Oslo agreements were signed, while Americans and Israelis alike were swept up in the euphoria that peace was finally on the horizon, they predicted the Oslo agreements would fail.   One classic article in which they made this prediction is titled   The Peace of Chelm, which appeared in the December 1993 issue of Outpost.